Why Nippon CPSE ETF Behaves Nothing Like NIFTY 50

Brokerage Free Team •February 9, 2026 | 5 min read • 18 views

PSU stocks are often dismissed as slow, inefficient wealth destroyers. Yet across full market cycles, CPSE companies have delivered strong dividend cash flows and valuation plays rarely found in private-sector-heavy indices. The real question is not whether Nippon CPSE ETF works — but when it works.

🔎 Read First

Nippon CPSE ETF is not a core equity fund. It is a cycle-driven, dividend-heavy, policy-sensitive satellite allocation.

Works best when:

  • PSU valuations are low

  • Government pushes dividends, capex, or disinvestment

  • Energy & infrastructure cycles turn favourable

Fails when:

  • Valuations run ahead of fundamentals

  • Private-sector growth dominates market leadership

  • Policy uncertainty rises

Ideal allocation: 5–10% of equity portfolio only when market/sentiment supports PSU re-rating

What Is Nippon India CPSE ETF — According to the AMC

Nippon India CPSE ETF is an open-ended index ETF listed on NSE and BSE that tracks the Nifty CPSE Index — investing in constituent stocks in the same proportion as the index. The fund aims to deliver returns that closely correspond to the total returns (including dividends) of the underlying index, subject to tracking error.

  • Inception Date: 28 March 2014

  • Benchmark: Nifty CPSE TRI 

  • Fund Manager: Jitendra Tolani 

  • Expense Structure: Nil entry & exit load 

  • Minimum Investment: 1 unit on exchange or creation unit size of 25,000 units

  • AUM (Dec 31, 2025): ₹28,703.62 Cr (approx)

💡 This is a passive index ETF — meaning there’s no active stock picking. It mirrors the index weights and portfolio exactly (or as closely as practical). 

Latest Performance Trends

Growth of ₹10,000 Invested

Period CPSE ETF Nifty CPSE TRI Nifty 50 TRI
1 Year ₹10,718 (≈7.18%) ₹10,722 (≈7.22%) ₹11,188 (≈11.88%)
3 Years ₹24,098 (≈34.00%) ₹24,234 (≈34.25%) ₹14,941 (≈14.29%)
5 Years ₹45,020 (≈35.09%) ₹45,699 (≈35.49%) ₹19,832 (≈14.67%)
Since Inception ₹52,508 (≈15.13%) ₹47,387 (≈14.13%) ₹45,061 (≈13.64%)

Data using dividend-reinvestment NAVs as of Dec 31, 2025 — CPSE ETF has outperformed broad market in long cycles but lagged on short-term growth metrics. 


Core Investment Philosophy (Fund Basics)

  • Passive strategy designed to replicate Nifty CPSE TRI performance. 

  • The ETF holds only the securities that form the index, in exact weight proportions. 

  • Tracking error may cause slight divergence from index returns. 

  • Suitable for those seeking long-term appreciation via CPSE exposure.

Portfolio Quality: Top Stocks & Sector Allocation

🧱 Top 7 Holdings (as of Dec 31, 2025)

Rank Stock Approx Weight
1 NTPC Limited ~20.18%
2 Bharat Electronics Ltd ~19.90%
3 Power Grid Corporation ~18.32%
4 Oil & Natural Gas Corp (ONGC) ~14.27%
5 Coal India Ltd ~13.85%
6 NHPC Ltd ~3.83%
7 Oil India Ltd ~3.54%
These seven stocks represent the bulk of the ETF’s exposure.

🏢 Top 7 Issuers / Groups

Issuer Likely Dominance
Government of India Majority PSUs Dominant
PSU Energy Sector Very High
Infrastructure / Power Utilities High
Natural Resources (Coal, Energy) High
Defense & Electronics Moderate
Misc PSU Names (NHPC, Oil India) Lower

 

📊 Top 4 Sectors by Allocation

Sector Dominance
Power Largest share
Aerospace & Defense Significant allocation
Oil & Natural Gas Major exposure
Consumable Fuels / Natural Resources Substantial
Sector weights reflect concentrated PSU exposures rather than broad economy.

Why Investors Allocate to CPSE ETF

Dividend Yield & Cash Flow Focus

Unlike growth-oriented benchmarks, the CPSE universe often delivers above-market dividend yields, especially from energy and utilities names.

CPSE ETF behaves as a hybrid income-plus-value instrument rather than a pure growth fund.

Valuation Comfort (Margin of Safety)

Relative to large diversified indices, CPSE stocks usually trade at discount valuations, creating potential long-term opportunities when sentiment changes or policy support emerges.
However, valuation comfort does not guarantee returns without a supportive cycle.

Performance Reality: Cyclical, Episodic, Non-Linear

The CPSE Cycle Map

Phase Market Behaviour
Phase 1: Neglect Valuations depressed, low investor interest
Phase 2: Policy Trigger Dividends, capex signals, disinvestment optics
Phase 3: Re-rating Sharp outperformance vs broader market
Phase 4: Saturation Underperformance once valuation premium dissipates

Investors often make the mistake of entering after Phase 3 — i.e., at or near peak valuations.

ETF vs PSU Mutual Fund: A Clear Comparison

Feature CPSE ETF PSU Mutual Fund
Expense Ratio Very Low Relatively Higher
Fund Manager Risk None (Passive) Present (Active)
Transparency High Moderate
Tactical Use Excellent Moderate
Demat Needed Yes No

For pure PSU theme exposure, ETF structure is often more efficient.

Common Investor Mistakes to Avoid

❌ Treating CPSE ETF as a core holding
❌ Running SIPs irrespective of valuations
❌ Ignoring macro signals (crude, capex, rates, policy)
❌ Expecting IT/FMCG-style returns

Smart Allocation Strategy (Scenario-Based)

Market Scenario Suggested Allocation
PSU undervaluation 10–15% of equity
Neutral cycle 5–7%
Overheated PSU rally 0–3%
Core long-term equity ❌ Avoid

Taxation (Equity ETF Rules – India)

  • STCG: 15% (holding < 12 months)

  • LTCG: 10% beyond ₹1 lakh gains

  • Dividends: Taxed per individual slab

Who Should (and Shouldn’t) Invest?

📌 Suitable For

  • Dividend-focused investors

  • Tactical satellite allocators

  • Portfolios skewed toward private-sector names seeking diversification

🚫 Not Suitable For

  • First-time equity investors

  • Pure growth seekers

  • Investors averse to valuation & policy cycles

Final Investment Thesis

Nippon India CPSE ETF is not a growth engine — it is a calibration tool for valuation, dividend yield, and PSU cyclicality.
Used intelligently, it can raise income and diversification. Used blindly, it can underperform for extended periods.er distribution.

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